The Marlins Sign a Name—Heath Bell

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If any team exemplifies the ability to find someone (anyone) to accumulate the save stat and do a reasonable job as the closer it’s the Florida Marlins.

The Marlins signed Heath Bell to a 3-year, $27 million deal with a vesting option for a fourth year at $9 million; this is more about getting a “name” and “personality” to drum up fan interest than acquiring someone whom they can trust as their ninth inning man for a club that clearly has designs on contending.

To be clearer, the Marlins have an intent on looking like they’re trying to contend.

So it was that they made offers to Albert Pujols, Jose Reyes and made a great show in hosting C.J. Wilson.

What the offers were and whether they’re truly competitive enough to snag any of those players is a matter of leaks, ignorant guesswork and storytelling.

The Marlins traded for a feisty and successful “name” manager as well when they acquired Ozzie Guillen from the White Sox.

They’re doing a lot of stuff.

Bell will be at least serviceable as the Marlins closer and probably good. $27 million over 3-years isn’t a ridiculous amount of money, but if the Marlins were still running the team as they did under Jeffrey Loria in the days of saving money and collecting revenue sharing fees while putting forth the pretense of being broke and desperate for a new (publicly financed) stadium, under no circumstances would they have paid Bell.

And that’s the point.

On an annual basis, the Marlins closer was dynamic and interchangeable with a bunch of journeyman names that changed (in more ways than one considering the situation of Leo Nunez AKA Juan Oviedo) and were decent at an affordable price.

Braden Looper, Ugueth Urbina, Armando Benitez, Todd Jones, Joe Borowski, Kevin Gregg, Matt Lindstrom, Oviedo—all were the Marlins nominal closer at times. Some were very good; some were mediocre; some were bad. But all accrued saves for a team that was on the cusp of contention for much of that time and they did it cheaply. Would the Marlins have had a better chance to make the playoffs had they been trotting Mariano Rivera to the mound to the blistering tune of “Enter Sandman”? They might’ve won a few more games and it might’ve made a difference, but Bell is not Rivera.

This is something the stat people don’t understand when they say “anyone” can get the saves. It’s true, but not accurate in full context.

The 2008 Phillies could’ve found someone to be the closer, but that closer wouldn’t have been as great as Brad Lidge was in the regular season or the playoffs and with them teetering on missing the playoffs entirely, they might not have made it at all without Lidge.

Rivera’s aura says that the game is essentially over upon his arrival; his ice cold ruthlessness behind a pacifist smile and post-season calm provides the Yankees with a not-so-secret weapon; the biggest difference between themselves and their closest competitors during their dynasty was Rivera.

The Phillies could’ve kept Ryan Madson to be the closer and saved a few dollars rather than paying Jonathan Papelbon, but with the way they’re currently built around starting pitching, it made no sense to risk blowing games or overuse those starters because of an untrustworthy closer. Their window to win in within the next 3-4 years and they needed someone with a post-season pedigree and the known ability to handle a high-pressure atmosphere like Philadelphia.

That’s aptly describes Papelbon.

With the Marlins, they have so many other holes to fill that Bell is a nice bauble to acquire; he’ll generate some headlines and send a signal to the rest of baseball and the free agent market that they’re not putting on a show to garner attention, but are legitimately improving. They could’ve done it in a different, cheaper way, but it’s not about Bell and Bell alone—it’s about several things including public relations, media exposure, selling tickets and that aforementioned message to the other free agents to say, “hey look, we’re not doing this just so people talk about us.”

Whether it works and they lure free agents to Florida is another matter; and if they’re going to do that and get Reyes, Wilson, Prince Fielder, Mark Buehrle, Pujols or any combination of the group, they’ll have to write them a check substantially higher than the $27 million they just handed Bell.

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The Francisco Rodriguez Free Agency Profile

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Name: Francisco Rodriguez.

Position: Right handed relief pitcher.

Vital Statistics:

Age-30 in January.

Height-6’0″

Weight-200.

Bats: Right.

Throws: Right.

Transactions: Signed by the Los Angeles Angels as an amateur free agent in 1998; signed by the New York Mets as a free agent in December 2008; traded to to the Milwaukee Brewers in July 2011.

Agent: Scott Boras.

Might he return to the Brewers? No.

Teams that could use and pay him: Boston Red Sox; Toronto Blue Jays; Baltimore Orioles; Chicago White Sox; Kansas City Royals; Minnesota Twins; Texas Rangers; New York Mets; Florida Marlins; Cincinnati Reds; Los Angeles Dodgers.

Positives:

K-Rod has four pitches, which is a rarity for a reliever; he strikes out well over a batter-per-inning; despite high profile games he’s blown in the playoffs, he’s extremely reliable; his control appears worse than it is because he gets into a lot of deep counts and looks like he gets in trouble just for the sake of getting out of it—but he does get out of it; he doesn’t allow many homers; he works hard to stay in shape and loves to pitch.

Negatives:

He can be exceedingly selfish and stupid as evidenced by his assault on his father-in-law in the Citi Field family room in August of 2010. K-Rod was also openly displeased over the Brewers decision to never use him as a closer. When he’s asked to warm up, he likes to get into the game. His motion is stressful and despite his durability, as he ages, there’s always going to be the concern that he’ll eventually break down.

What he’ll want: 4-years, $50 million.

What he’ll get: 3-years, $35 million with a vesting option for a fourth year at $12 million.

Teams that might give it to him: Orioles; Rangers; Marlins; Dodgers.

K-Rod switched agents at mid-season from Paul Kinzer to Scott Boras. Mets GM Sandy Alderson pulled a skillful end-around on Boras by trading K-Rod to the Brewers before Boras was able to submit a list of teams to whom K-Rod could not be traded. The games finished option in K-Rod’s contract was worth $17.5 million for 2012, but neither the Mets nor the Brewers were going to come close to letting it kick in. K-Rod dropped the option for a bonus and his freedom. Boras will find a way to equate and surpass K-Rod’s history to Jonathan Papelbon‘s and will ask for a similar contract; after the way the summer went for Boras with his new client, he has to deliver on his promises.

Would I sign K-Rod? For teams that have a history of taking wayward players, straightening them out and putting them in a position to redeem their reputations and themselves, he’s a worthwhile shot—I’m talking about the Rangers. K-Rod would allow them to shift Neftali Feliz into the starting rotation.

The Marlins are throwing a load of offers around, but it remains to be seen who is going to take their money. They need a closer amid the uncertainty on and off the field of Juan Oviedo/Leo Nunez.

K-Rod is a real possibility for both.

I don’t expect the Dodgers or Orioles to be after K-Rod with any intent, but both clubs are unpredictable. The Orioles need a closer; the Dodgers might trust Javy Guerra, but Ned Colletti prefers veterans and if the Dodgers want to leap into contention, he might want to go get a “name”.

Will it be a retrospective mistake for the team that signs him? If they give K-Rod a Papelbon contract, they will regret it. If it’s for 3-years and the 4th year option isn’t the same as it was for 2012, then he’ll do the job he’s hired to do.

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